Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October

Southwell

Tapeta all-weather · flat and jumps

536races, last 12 months
35.1%favourites win ▼ 1.4 pts vs all flat
9.2runners per race
Yesreliable draw bias Bias found · 1 third
8/71our winners here11% strike rate

Today's Southwell Tips

Going: Standard · 9 races

No tip from us at Southwell today. The card is below, and today's selections at other courses are on today's tips.

TimeRaceTripRnrsOur pick
4:25 Follow @attheraces On Instagram Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 5f 8 –
5:00 Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 1m 6f 12 –
5:30 Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 1m 3f 7 –
6:00 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 1m 12 –
6:30 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 1m 11 –
7:00 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 1m 9 –
7:30 Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 1m 14 –
8:00 Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 6f 11 –
8:30 Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 7f 12 –

Our Record at Southwell

since 21 May

8 winners from 71 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:

9/2Si White23 Jul 2026
10/3Mimime26 Sept 2026
3/1Fort Augustus21 May 2026
3/1Mdawi (A)16 Aug 2026
11/4Star Of Mali18 Jun 2026
5/2Massimo Blue27 Aug 2026

Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.

Trainers in Form

last 14 days
  • James Fanshawe5 from 13
    Runs today: 8:30 Enacting
  • John & Thady Gosden11 from 33
    Runs today: 5:30 Master Of The Sky
  • Chris Dwyer2 from 7
    Runs today: 7:30 Man of Desert
  • Jack Jones3 from 11
    Runs today: 7:30 Volto di Medusa
  • Warren Greatrex4 from 15
    Runs today: 8:00 Inchi's Mooch

At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.

Course Winners Running Today

today's runners
TimeHorseWon hereThis trip
5:00Edwardtheninth1 of 41
7:00Silken Bay1 of 11
7:30Spirit Lead Me1 of 11
7:30Volto di Medusa1 of 21
8:30King of Ithaca1 of 81

Plus 7 more with a single win here at another trip.

Top Southwell Trainers

last 12 months, flat
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Michael Herrington 20–104 19.2% 14.9% +35.28
James Owen 15–125 12.0% 15.7% -51.12
K. R. Burke 14–58 24.1% 19.4% -16.16
Ian Williams 14–91 15.4% 12.3% +23.25
Michael Appleby 14–113 12.4% 11.6% +16.60
James Tate 11–48 22.9% 15.9% -9.35
Andrew Balding 10–69 14.5% 18.3% -28.50
Tony Carroll 10–95 10.5% 13.3% +13.08
Ralph Beckett 9–35 25.7% 17.9% -1.09
Michael Dods 9–47 19.1% 9.1% +7.33

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Top Southwell Jockeys

last 12 months, flat
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Hector Crouch 18–81 22.2% 17.0% +1.82
Rob Hornby 17–82 20.7% 11.6% +36.83
Jason Hart 14–98 14.3% 13.7% -8.96
Dylan Hogan 13–88 14.8% 8.8% +33.82
Billy Loughnane 12–94 12.8% 19.9% -39.48
Cieren Fallon 11–34 32.4% 17.0% +29.00
Jason Watson 11–61 18.0% 11.1% -4.20
Sean Kirrane 11–80 13.8% 8.2% -11.01
Lewis Edmunds 11–111 9.9% 9.9% -54.15
Luke Morris 11–132 8.3% 11.4% -85.50

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Southwell Draw Bias

flat races since 17 Apr

There is a draw effect here we would rely on. Over 5f to 6f, high draws have the edge: 41.1% of the winners from 33.1% of the runners.

5f to 6f231 races
Low 28.8%
Middle 30.1%
High 41.1%▲ edge
7f to a mile295 races
Low 31%
Middle 35.6%
High 33.5%
1m 4f and further109 races
Low 26.9%
Middle 37.6%
High 35.5%

Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.

Southwell Track Guide

Southwell is one of only six British courses with an all-weather track, and one of three with a Tapeta surface.

Tapeta replaced Fibresand in 2021.

National Hunt racing also takes place there on a turf course.

Surface
Tapeta (laid 2021, replacing Fibresand)
Racing
Flat (all-weather) and National Hunt (turf)

Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Southwell and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.