Racecourse guide · Thursday 8 October

Kempton

Right-handed Polytrack oval · floodlit

423races, last 12 months
39.5%favourites win ▲ 3.0 pts vs all flat
9.4runners per race
Yesreliable draw bias Bias found · 3 thirds
11/73our winners here15% strike rate

Today's Kempton Tips

Thursday 8 October

There is no flat racing at Kempton today. Our selections for today's meetings are on today's tips, and the course stats below are updated every morning.

Our Record at Kempton

since 27 May

11 winners from 73 picks here on the daily card and the X thread. The biggest-priced of them:

11/1Elan d'Or30 Sept 2026
10/1Senor Cortez10 Aug 2026
9/1Magnesium5 Sept 2026
7/1Starlight Time19 Aug 2026
13/2Moonshine10 Jun 2026
6/1Madjid26 Aug 2026

Price is the one we put up. The full card record, losers included, is on the record page.

Trainers in Form

last 14 days

No trainer with a runner here today is in a hot spell.

At least 6 runners in the last 14 days, at any track, winning with 25% or more.

Course Winners Running Today

today's runners

Nobody in today's fields has won here twice or over today's trip.

Top Kempton Trainers

last 12 months, flat
TrainerW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Charlie Appleby 24–36 66.7% 34.6% +14.20
John Butler 21–84 25.0% 16.9% +62.88
Andrew Balding 20–128 15.6% 18.3% -43.56
John & Thady Gosden 17–62 27.4% 25.8% +11.59
James Owen 12–69 17.4% 15.7% -14.65
George Boughey 10–54 18.5% 16.9% -14.03
Rod Millman 9–47 19.1% 11.7% +51.86
Ralph Beckett 9–60 15.0% 17.9% -16.90
Clive Cox 8–38 21.1% 16.9% +22.99
William Haggas 8–48 16.7% 20.5% -2.06

Minimum 15 runners and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Top Kempton Jockeys

last 12 months, flat
JockeyW–RHereAll tracks1pt SP
Billy Loughnane 27–176 15.3% 19.9% -86.06
Oisin Murphy 26–116 22.4% 19.8% -21.42
Rossa Ryan 25–125 20.0% 18.0% +13.73
William Buick 18–33 54.5% 26.8% +17.90
Robert Havlin 13–76 17.1% 15.5% -11.15
Lewis Edmunds 13–94 13.8% 9.9% +9.86
Daniel Muscutt 13–99 13.1% 13.1% +1.92
Hector Crouch 12–66 18.2% 17.0% -9.09
Cieren Fallon 11–75 14.7% 17.0% -15.38
James Doyle 10–39 25.6% 21.4% -7.27

Minimum 15 rides and 3 wins here. The last column is a 1pt win bet on every one at starting price: a good strike rate the market already knows about shows as a loss.

Kempton Draw Bias

flat races since 17 Apr

There is a draw effect here we would rely on. Over 5f to 6f, low draws have the edge: 45.9% of the winners from 33.4% of the runners. Over 7f to a mile, middle draws have the edge: 39.7% of the winners from 33.4% of the runners. Over 7f to a mile, high draws struggle: 26.9% of the winners from 33.3% of the runners.

5f to 6f120 races
Low 45.9%▲ edge
Middle 29.7%
High 24.3%
7f to a mile327 races
Low 33.3%
Middle 39.7%▲ edge
High 26.9%▼ weak
9f to 11f66 races
Low 42.1%
Middle 36.8%
High 21.1%
1m 4f and further85 races
Low 33.3%
Middle 37.3%
High 29.3%

Stalls are split into low, middle and high thirds within each race. Each bar is that third's share of the winners and the tick is its share of the runners, so a bar past its tick is winning more than its share. We only call a bias when the gap is at least 15% of that share and two standard deviations clear of chance.

Kempton Track Guide

Kempton's flat racing is on a floodlit Polytrack all-weather track that opened in March 2006.

It is a right-handed oval of 8 or 10 furlongs, depending on whether the inner or outer bend is used.

National Hunt racing also takes place at the course.

Direction
Right-handed
Shape
Oval of 8 or 10 furlongs (inner or outer bend)
Surface
Polytrack (opened March 2006)
Racing
Flat (all-weather) and National Hunt

Every figure on this page is counted from official flat results for Kempton and refreshed each morning. Each section states its window, and anything below a minimum sample is left off rather than shown on thin numbers.